The global electric buses market is expected to demonstrate strong
growth till 2025 at a double-digit CAGR. According to market analysts, the
global electric buses market will cross the mark of 30,000 units by the end of
2020. Let us take a look into the forces responsible for the impressive growth
of this market.
Driver: Growing Environmental Concerns
Air pollution caused by vehicles has become a serious concern
for governments worldwide. This is driving the demand for public transport that
features lower emission rates. Consequently, countries such as Germany, France,
and the U.K. are emerging key markets for electric vehicles (EV) due to
extensive government support for electrification of public transport. The
increasing environmental concerns will greatly fuel the growth of this market.
Driver: Rise in Investments and
Partnerships
The growing external funding, investments, and public-private
partnerships will greatly drive the global electric buses market. Investment
firms and transit agencies in the global electric buses market are backed by
public funding and venture capital. This is working in the favor of the global
electric buses market.
Opportunity: Emerging China Market
China is aggressively moving towards its goal of a
pollution-free transportation environment. Hence, the focus on increasing the
number of electric vehicles in the country is high. Thus, the Chinese
government is encouraging the purchase of electric buses by offering several
commercial incentives.
In addition to this, China is also a key manufacturing hub for
electric buses, with key vendors such as BYD and Zhongtong operating in this
region. BYD had sold over 1,000 electric buses by 2013.
Trend: New Product Launches
Technological roadmaps demonstrate the rapid innovation coming
in the next ten years. Recently, certain product launches by players in the
global electric buses market show the elevated level of competition in the
industry. The key players operating in this market are Ashok Leyland, Shenzhen
Wuzhoulong Motors, Alexander Dennis, Solaris Bus & Coach, Daimler, AB
Volvo, BYD, Proterra, Zhongtong Bus & Holding, and EBUSCO.
Restraint: Initial High Purchase Costs
The high initial investment associated with electric buses is
expected to suppress the global electric buses market. On the other hand, the
operation cost of these buses is significantly lower in contrast to
conventional buses, since electricity is more affordable and a more efficient
power source than diesel.
Restraint: Increasing Popularity of Substitutes
The global electric buses market is threatened by the increasing
adoption of vehicles that run on natural gas. CNG vehicles are expected to
steadily enter the overall market for buses in the coming decade. CNG vehicles
offer a broader range of prices, while this range is pegged at premium limits
with regard to electric buses. Additionally, the charging time for electric
buses can be multiple hours, while filling up a CNG vehicle is no different
than filling up a conventional gasoline-powered vehicle. These practicalities
increase the allure of CNG vehicles.
Though the global electric buses market is still in its nascent
stage, it is expected to grow tremendously in the coming few years as a result
of growing investment from government agencies and venture capitalists.
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1.1. Overview
1.1. Cost trends - China ready to pounce
1.2. Market drivers and impediments
1.2. Summary of technical preferences
1.3. Statistics issues
1.3. Regional differences
1.4. China, India and cities
1.4. Successful pure electric buses vs addressable market
1.5. Chinese price/performance
1.5. Radical change
1.6. Truly global market for similar buses
1.6. Forecast 2015-2025 with key orders, technology timelines
1.7. Electric bus >8t forecast by powertrain 2015-2025, number, unit value, market value
1.7. Large pure electric buses: first big orders 2014/5
1.8. Weak trend to larger buses but not in China
1.8. Forecast by territory for buses >8t for APAC, NA, Europe, other
1.9. Market forecast for electric buses <8t 2015-2025, number, unit price, market value
1.9. Value chain and powertrain
1.10. Hybrids becoming pure electric
1.11. Relative importance of technical options
1.12. Technology disagreement
1.13. Fuel cell buses: progress and potential
1.14. Background statistics: automotive industry and buses in general
1.14.1. Automotive industry
1.14.2. School buses
1.14.3. Largest bus manufacturers
1.14.4. Review of 2012-2014
1.15. Effect of 2015 oil price collapse on electric vehicles
1.1. Cost trends - China ready to pounce
1.2. Market drivers and impediments
1.2. Summary of technical preferences
1.3. Statistics issues
1.3. Regional differences
1.4. China, India and cities
1.4. Successful pure electric buses vs addressable market
1.5. Chinese price/performance
1.5. Radical change
1.6. Truly global market for similar buses
1.6. Forecast 2015-2025 with key orders, technology timelines
1.7. Electric bus >8t forecast by powertrain 2015-2025, number, unit value, market value
1.7. Large pure electric buses: first big orders 2014/5
1.8. Weak trend to larger buses but not in China
1.8. Forecast by territory for buses >8t for APAC, NA, Europe, other
1.9. Market forecast for electric buses <8t 2015-2025, number, unit price, market value
1.9. Value chain and powertrain
1.10. Hybrids becoming pure electric
1.11. Relative importance of technical options
1.12. Technology disagreement
1.13. Fuel cell buses: progress and potential
1.14. Background statistics: automotive industry and buses in general
1.14.1. Automotive industry
1.14.2. School buses
1.14.3. Largest bus manufacturers
1.14.4. Review of 2012-2014
1.15. Effect of 2015 oil price collapse on electric vehicles
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2. INTRODUCTION
2.1. Urban logistics trends
2.2. The move to electric
2.3. Motor technology by type of vehicle
2.3.1. Switched reluctance motors a disruptive traction motor technology?
2.3.2. Three ways that traction motor makers race to escape rare earths
2.4. Choice of lithium-ion batteries
2.4.1. 142 lithium battery manufacturers: chemistry, format, sales successes
2.5. Global situation: some recent highlights
2.5.1. Australia
2.5.2. China
2.5.3. India
2.5.4. North America
2.6. Europe
2.6.1. UK
2.6.2. Germany
2.6.3. Sweden, Switzerland
2.6.4. ABB intermittent overhead charging
2.6.5. Turkey
2.7. Asia Pacific
2.8. Latin America
2.9. Africa/Middle East
2.10. Number of manufacturers of electric vehicles
2.11. Electrification
2.12. Drivers of change
2.1. Urban logistics trends
2.2. The move to electric
2.3. Motor technology by type of vehicle
2.3.1. Switched reluctance motors a disruptive traction motor technology?
2.3.2. Three ways that traction motor makers race to escape rare earths
2.4. Choice of lithium-ion batteries
2.4.1. 142 lithium battery manufacturers: chemistry, format, sales successes
2.5. Global situation: some recent highlights
2.5.1. Australia
2.5.2. China
2.5.3. India
2.5.4. North America
2.6. Europe
2.6.1. UK
2.6.2. Germany
2.6.3. Sweden, Switzerland
2.6.4. ABB intermittent overhead charging
2.6.5. Turkey
2.7. Asia Pacific
2.8. Latin America
2.9. Africa/Middle East
2.10. Number of manufacturers of electric vehicles
2.11. Electrification
2.12. Drivers of change
3. ELECTRIC BUSES IN CHINA
3.1. China automotive industry
3.2. China bus market
3.2.1. China overall bus sales 2012-2014
3.2.2. China Light Bus Market 2013
3.2.3. China Medium Bus Market in 2013
3.2.4. China Large Bus Market 2013
3.3. Move to cleaner vehicles
3.4. Electric vehicle sales in China 2011-2014
3.4.1. Electric bus policy
3.5. Plug-in EV Sales in 2013
3.6. New Energy Vehicles NEV in 2014
3.7. Leapfrogging technology
3.8. MRRSE assessment of Chinese bus technology
3.8.1. Advanced technology in latest e-buses
3.8.2. Hiccups 3.8.3. China and rare earths
3.9. Chinese fuel cell activity: 35 organisations profiled
3.10. Chinese bus company and regional news 2014-5
3.10.1. BYD
3.10.2. BYD bus progress and plans
3.10.3. 5th New Energy Vehicle Exhibition Beijing Nov 2014
3.1. China automotive industry
3.2. China bus market
3.2.1. China overall bus sales 2012-2014
3.2.2. China Light Bus Market 2013
3.2.3. China Medium Bus Market in 2013
3.2.4. China Large Bus Market 2013
3.3. Move to cleaner vehicles
3.4. Electric vehicle sales in China 2011-2014
3.4.1. Electric bus policy
3.5. Plug-in EV Sales in 2013
3.6. New Energy Vehicles NEV in 2014
3.7. Leapfrogging technology
3.8. MRRSE assessment of Chinese bus technology
3.8.1. Advanced technology in latest e-buses
3.8.2. Hiccups 3.8.3. China and rare earths
3.9. Chinese fuel cell activity: 35 organisations profiled
3.10. Chinese bus company and regional news 2014-5
3.10.1. BYD
3.10.2. BYD bus progress and plans
3.10.3. 5th New Energy Vehicle Exhibition Beijing Nov 2014
4. SURVEY OF HYBRID BUS MANUFACTURERS
4.1. Overview
4.2. Analysis of hybrid bus manufacturers by location
4.3. 86 hybrid bus manufacturers compared: HQ, bus and e-bus output range, images, examples and assessment.
4.1. Overview
4.2. Analysis of hybrid bus manufacturers by location
4.3. 86 hybrid bus manufacturers compared: HQ, bus and e-bus output range, images, examples and assessment.
5. SURVEY OF PURE ELECTRIC BUS
MANUFACTURERS
5.1. Overview
5.2. Analysis of pure electric bus manufacturers by location
5.3. 80 manufacturers of pure electric buses by HQ, bus and e-bus output range, images, examples and assessment
5.4. Kalsruhe Assessment of E-Buse
5.1. Overview
5.2. Analysis of pure electric bus manufacturers by location
5.3. 80 manufacturers of pure electric buses by HQ, bus and e-bus output range, images, examples and assessment
5.4. Kalsruhe Assessment of E-Buse
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